The University of Massachusetts Boston

Department of Mathematics

MA345 Probability I, Spring 2025

Instructor: Prof. Alfred Noël

Office: 3-154-14 Wheatley

Phone: (617)-287-6458

Email: alfred.noel@umb.edu

URL: http://www.math.umb.edu/~anoel

Class hours: MW5:30 PM - 6:45 PM

Room W-2-127

Office hours: MW: 1:00 PM – 3:00 PM

Text : Introduction to Mathematical Statistics and its applications 5th edition by Larsen and Marx Publisher Pearson 9780321693945

 

NO COMPUTERS NO CELL PHONES IN CLASS

 

 

Course InfoThis is an introductory Calculus based course in Probability Theory, one of the most fundamental tools in Mathematics and Science. The students are expected to be mathematically mature enough to start dealing with concepts beyond Calculus ||. The goal of this course is to give to students a set of mathematical tools that they will need in order to pursue advanced studies in Mathematics, Physics, Chemistry, Engineering in particular and Science in general. Students who are concerned about their mathematical background should speak to me as soon as possible for advising. Students who have taken Calculus I, II, should, in principle, be able to take this course. However, regardless of your background you will find the course to be very challenging. Consequently, you should not collaborate on homework and you should participate in class discussions. Also, I strongly advise students to form discussions groups that meet outside of the class-room. We will cover the first four chapters of the texts: Discrete and Continuous Random variables, Joint Distributions, Moment generating functions, Central Limit Theorem. Here are the topics:

 

1. Introduction

1.1 An Overview

1.2 Some Examples

1.3 A Brief History

1.4 A Chapter Summary

 

2. Probability

2.1 Introduction

2.2 Sample Spaces and the Algebra of Sets

2.3 The Probability Function

2.4 Conditional Probability

2.5 Independence

2.6 Combinatorics

 

3. Random Variables

3.1 Introduction

3.2 Binomial and Hypergeometric Probabilities

3.3 Discrete Random Variables

3.4 Continuous Random Variables

3.5 Expected Values

3.6 The Variance

3.7 Joint Densities

3.9 Further Properties of the Mean and Variance

3.12 Moment-Generating Functions

 

4. Special Distributions

4.3 The Normal Distribution, Approximations, Central Limit Theorem

Appendix 4.A.2 A Proof of the Central Limit Theorem

 

Exams: There will be weekly homework assignments, two 75-minute exams, and a final exam.

 

Exam I  : Wednesday, February 26

Exam II : Wednesday, April  9

Grading Procedures: Homework 25%, Exam1 20%, Exam2 25%, Final Exam 30%.

 

THERE WILL BE NO MAKEUP EXAMS.

STUDENTS ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR MATERIAL COVERED IN CLASS.